St. Joseph Cancer Center - Cancer Survival
  

Every year, the Cancer Program looks at overall survival for the four major cancer diagnoses, and has compared them with a broader database. Two years ago, since regional data was difficult to obtain, the St. Joseph Registry (SJH) began to use data from the National Oncology Data Base, which reflects cancer care across the United States.

The four most common cancer diagnoses in the SJH are Prostate, Breast, Lung, and Melanoma. Melanoma may have a falsely high incidence in comparison to the national data because SJH has a community wide registry rather than a hospital only registry. The standard fourth “major cancer diagnosis” is ordinarily Colorectal cancer in national statistics, so Colorectal cancer data is reviewed.

The National Oncology Data Base (NODB) uses AJCC staging, which is more specific than the system used by CSS. Hence, SJH is able to make comparisons by true staging.

In order to assure that the survival results are comparable, it is necessary to ensure that the incidence by Stage is comparable. Survival can be easily affected by stage migration, so fair comparisons would require fairly comparable incidence by Stage. According to the 2007 cancer tables below, SJH had a higher % of early Breast Cancer, and a higher % of Stage 3 Lung Cancer than the national numbers. True analysis is difficult because SJH had far fewer numbers of “Unknown Stage” than the national data. This reflects quite favorably on the excellence of SJH data collection and completeness of staging.

Percentage of cases by Stage, Breast CA
SJH vs. NODB, 2000-2006
 
Stage SJH NODB
0 16.22 17.88
1 45.32 37.74
2 25.1  27.98
3 8.11 5.12
4 3.91 3.23
unknown 1.34 5.05
Percentage of cases by Stage, Prostate CA
SJH vs. NODB, 2000-2006
 
Stage SJH NODB
0 0 0.1
1 1.08 1.48
2 74.95  78.35
3 15.41 7.82
4 6.4 4.69
unknown 2.16 7.55
Percentage of cases by Stage, Colorectal CA
SJH vs. NODB, 2000-2006
 
Stage SJH NODB
0 0.56 5.81
1 27.88 22.09
2 27.88 23.79
3 22.68  22.23
4 15.61 15.51
unknown 5.39 10.56
Percentage of cases by Stage, Lung CA
SJH vs. NODB, 2000-2006
 
Stage SJH NODB
0 0.4
1 22.51 19.19
2 6.91 6.44
3 23.79 23.75
4 40.15 37.31
unknown 6.65  12.92

Survival curves on CHARTS 1 through 4 demonstrate that overall survival for each of the four major sites is essentially the same between SJH and NODB.

Chart 1

Chart 2

Chart 3

Chart 4

CHARTS 5 through 8 compare our survival by stage with NODB survival. The survival curves are close for each cancer and each stage, although the tables makes it appear that there is a minor non statistical trend toward slightly less survival at SJH. There is also a slight discrepancy in late survival that is not statistically significant and due to small numbers. Interestingly, the best 5-year survival in Prostate Cancer is St. Joseph Stage 2 patients, with somewhat better survival compared to NODB Stage 2 & 3 survival. This is a reflection of “stage migration” and co morbidities that occur when comparing different mixes of clinical and pathologically staged cancers. Because there was an “appearance” of slightly less favorable survival, the median age for each Cancer and stage was reviewed. The results are “Overall Survival” and hence an older age would affect overall survival for the group. Overall the medial age is older for SJH patients, and one would expect less favorable survival as a result. The most dramatic difference in age is in Lung Cancer patients.

Chart 5

Chart 6

Chart 7

Chart 8

In Summary, it appears that, in spite of an older age group and more accurate staging, SJH survival results are essentially the same as the survival results of a large national cancer data bank. This is a favorable finding, and the secondary outcome of this evaluation is the documentation of excellent completeness of staging.

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